What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Železničar Pančevo and 1.0 from Čukarički, so Železničar Pančevo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Železničar Pančevo to win. Železničar Pančevo are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.0), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.80, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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