Serie AFri 16 Oct · 18:45 UTC

Frosinone v Sassuolo prediction

FrosinoneWDWDW

SassuoloWDDWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Frosinone and 1.1 from Sassuolo, so Frosinone come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.1), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.54, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Frosinone are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.

✓Sassuolo have won two of their last five.

✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

2 Sept 2026Sassuolo 1 - 1 Frosinone

13 May 2025Sassuolo 0 - 1 Frosinone

14 Dec 2024Frosinone 1 - 2 Sassuolo

9 Mar 2024Sassuolo 1 - 0 Frosinone

17 Sept 2023Frosinone 4 - 2 Sassuolo

The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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