Serie ASat 17 Oct · 16:00 UTC

Bologna v Inter prediction

BolognaLLDLD

InterWWLWD

What to expect

We expect about 1.1 goals from Bologna and 2.0 from Inter, so Inter come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Inter to win. Inter shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-2.0), and we make them about 62% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.64, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say

✓Bologna have not won any of their last five.

✓Inter have won three of their last five.

✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.

✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

23 May 2026Bologna 3 - 3 Inter

4 Jan 2026Inter 3 - 1 Bologna

20 Apr 2025Bologna 1 - 0 Inter

15 Jan 2025Inter 2 - 2 Bologna

9 Mar 2024Bologna 0 - 1 Inter

Inter have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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