How it turned out
We projected about 3.7 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Inter win & Over 1.5 79%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 3.0 goals from Inter and 0.7 from Monza, so Inter come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Inter come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Inter win & Over 1.5. Inter to come out on top in what shapes up as an open, high-scoring game (xG 3.0-0.7). The result and the goals line point the same way here.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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