How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Under 2.5 goals 51%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Udinese and 1.4 from Como, so Como come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Udinese come into this on two straight defeats. Como come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.4 goals in total (xG 1.0-1.4), keeping it under more often than not (about 54%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.71, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
