Serie ASat 10 Oct · 16:00 UTC

Inter v Parma prediction

InterWWWLW

ParmaWLLDL

What to expect

We expect about 2.4 goals from Inter and 0.7 from Parma, so Inter come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Inter to win. Inter are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-0.7), and we make them about 83% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 82 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.15, which works out at about 87 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Inter have won four of their last five.

✓Parma have won one of their last five.

✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

3 May 2026Inter 2 - 0 Parma

7 Jan 2026Parma 0 - 2 Inter

5 Apr 2025Parma 2 - 2 Inter

6 Dec 2024Inter 3 - 1 Parma

Inter have won three of the last four meetings, with one drawn.

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