How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Frosinone to score 1 or fewer 79%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Napoli and 1.0 from Frosinone, so Napoli come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Frosinone to score 1 or fewer. This is about Frosinone's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 79%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Napoli have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
