How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Juventus to score 2 or fewer 78%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Juventus and 1.0 from Atalanta, so Juventus come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Atalanta come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Juventus to score 2 or fewer. This is about Juventus's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 78%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.
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