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Football/Serie A/Lecce v Monza
Serie A

Lecce v Monza: how it went

Lecce crestLecce12th of 20 · 6 ptsWWWLL
3 - 2
Monza crestMonza16th of 20 · 4 ptsLDLLD
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Lecce to score 75%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Lecce and 1.1 from Monza, so Lecce come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Lecce come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Lecce to score. This is about Lecce's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 75%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Lecce have won three of their last five.
✓Monza have not won any of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

16 Feb 2025Monza 0 - 0 Lecce
15 Dec 2024Lecce 2 - 1 Monza
27 Apr 2024Lecce 1 - 1 Monza
17 Sept 2023Monza 1 - 1 Lecce
28 May 2023Monza 0 - 1 Lecce

Lecce have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.

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