How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Juventus to score 2 or fewer 75%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Sassuolo and 1.5 from Juventus, so Juventus come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sassuolo come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Juventus to score 2 or fewer. This is about Juventus's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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