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Football/Serie A/Milan v Inter
Serie A

Milan v Inter: how it went

Milan crestMilan5th of 20 · 18 ptsWDWWL
3 - 1
Inter crestInter1st of 20 · 25 ptsLWWWW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 58%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Milan and 1.6 from Inter, so Inter come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Inter come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Milan have won three of their last five.
✓Inter have won four of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

8 Mar 2026Milan 1 - 0 Inter
23 Nov 2025Inter 0 - 1 Milan
2 Feb 2025Milan 1 - 1 Inter
22 Sept 2024Inter 1 - 2 Milan
22 Apr 2024Milan 1 - 2 Inter

Milan have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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More Serie A fixtures

Full fixture list
31 Oct 2026Bologna crestBologna2-1MonzaMonza crest31 Oct 2026Udinese crestUdinese2-5RomaRoma crest
Como crestComovVeneziaVenezia crest★★★★★
Como are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-0.8), and we make them about 80% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Top pickComo to win · 1.31Share
Frosinone crestFrosinonevTorinoTorino crest★★★★★
This should be an open game: we make it around 3.4 goals between the two (xG 2.1-1.4), landing about 60% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
Match outlookOver 2.5 goals · 1.42Share
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