How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Catanzaro or Draw 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Catanzaro and 1.2 from Padova, so Catanzaro come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Padova come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Catanzaro or Draw. This covers Catanzaro or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last two meetings are split 1-1, with no drawn.
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