How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Cremonese or Draw 69%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Cremonese and 1.2 from Benevento, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Cremonese or Draw. This covers Cremonese or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
All two of the last meetings were drawn.
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