How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Cremonese to win 51%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Cremonese and 1.1 from Virtus Entella, so Cremonese come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Cremonese to win. Cremonese are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-1.1), and we make them about 52% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.80, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
