What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Juve Stabia and 0.9 from Cesena, so Juve Stabia come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Juve Stabia to win. Juve Stabia are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-0.9), and we make them about 46% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 45 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.05, which works out at about 49 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Juve Stabia have won one of their last five.
✓Cesena have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
11 Apr 2026Juve Stabia 2 - 0 Cesena
20 Dec 2025Cesena 1 - 1 Juve Stabia
30 Mar 2025Cesena 1 - 2 Juve Stabia
22 Dec 2024Juve Stabia 1 - 0 Cesena
