Juve Stabia v Verona: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Juve Stabia or Draw 73%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.5 goals from Juve Stabia and 1.3 from Verona, so Juve Stabia come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Juve Stabia come into this on two straight wins. Verona come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Juve Stabia or Draw. This covers Juve Stabia or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.49, which works out at about 67 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.