How it turned out
We projected about 2.1 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Virtus Entella or Draw 72%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Virtus Entella and 0.9 from Juve Stabia, so Virtus Entella come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Juve Stabia come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Virtus Entella or Draw. This covers Virtus Entella or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Juve Stabia have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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