How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda to win 50%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda and 1.0 from Spartak Trnava, so DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda to win. DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.0), and we make them about 51% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 50 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.81, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda have won four of the last five meetings.
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