What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Komárno and 2.0 from Slovan Bratislava, so Slovan Bratislava come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Slovan Bratislava (Draw No Bet). Slovan Bratislava are favoured here (xG 0.9-2.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Slovan Bratislava defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Komárno are unbeaten in their last three — one win and two draws.
✓Slovan Bratislava have won one of their last five.
