How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Olimpija Ljubljana to win 36%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from NK Bravo and 1.2 from Olimpija Ljubljana, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Olimpija Ljubljana come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Olimpija Ljubljana to win. Olimpija Ljubljana shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.2), and we make them about 37% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 36 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.05, which works out at about 49 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
NK Bravo have won five of the last five meetings.
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