Nk Brinje Grosuplje v Radomlje: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Nk Brinje Grosuplje to win 43%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.8 goals from Nk Brinje Grosuplje and 1.4 from Radomlje, so Nk Brinje Grosuplje come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Nk Brinje Grosuplje come into this on two straight defeats. Radomlje come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Nk Brinje Grosuplje to win. Nk Brinje Grosuplje are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-1.4), and we make them about 45% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 43 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.