What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Estudiantes de Mérida and 1.2 from Academia Puerto Cabello, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Academia Puerto Cabello come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Academia Puerto Cabello or Draw. This covers Academia Puerto Cabello or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
Two-way cover still leaves one result that beats you, and tight games can turn on a single mistake. The price is shorter than our own read of about 71%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.