What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Metropolitanos and 1.2 from Deportivo Táchira, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.3 goals between the two (xG 1.1-1.2), landing about 68% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
If one side settles for what they have, or the game turns cagey, the goals can dry up in a hurry. The price is shorter than our own read of about 68%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.