What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Rayo Zuliano and 1.5 from Deportivo La Guaira, so Deportivo La Guaira come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Deportivo La Guaira come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.3 goals between the two (xG 0.8-1.5), landing about 68% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
If chances go begging or a red card tightens things up, the goals may simply not come. The price is shorter than our own read of about 68%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.