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Football/Venezuela Primera División/Zamora FC v UCV FC
Venezuela Primera División

Zamora FC v UCV FC prediction

ZAZamora FCLL
v
UCUCV FC

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Zamora FC and 1.4 from UCV FC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Zamora FC come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.6 goals between the two (xG 1.2-1.3), landing about 73% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

One thing to watch

If one side settles for what they have, or the game turns cagey, the goals can dry up in a hurry. We make it about 73% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.

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