How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Over 1.5 goals 67%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Coritiba and 1.1 from Vitoria, so Coritiba come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Coritiba come into this on two straight defeats. Vitoria come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.6 goals (xG 1.4-1.1), and two is enough to land it, landing about 69% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Coritiba have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
