How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Vasco and 1.7 from Flamengo RJ, so Flamengo RJ come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Flamengo RJ come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Vasco to score 1 or fewer. This is about Vasco's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 72%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Flamengo RJ have won one of the last five meetings, with four drawn.
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