Remo v Santos: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Remo to score 72%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.5 goals from Remo and 1.4 from Santos, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Remo come into this on five straight defeats. Santos come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Remo to score. This is about Remo's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 72%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.