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Football/Brasileirão Série A/Vasco v Coritiba
Brasileirão Série A · Estádio São Januário

Vasco v Coritiba: how it went

Vasco crestVasco16th of 20 · 31 ptsLWLWW
5 - 0
Coritiba crestCoritiba9th of 20 · 38 ptsWWLDD
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 5. We made Vasco to score 2 or fewer 79%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.6 goals from Vasco and 1.3 from Coritiba, so Vasco come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Vasco come into this on two straight wins. Coritiba come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Vasco to score 2 or fewer. This is about Vasco's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 79%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Vasco have won three of their last five.
✓Coritiba have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.

Recent results

2 Apr 2026Coritiba 1 - 1 Vasco
21 Sept 2023Vasco 5 - 1 Coritiba
11 May 2023Coritiba 1 - 1 Vasco
16 Oct 2021Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Coritiba
14 Jul 2021Coritiba 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama

The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.

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More Brasileirão Série A fixtures

Full fixture list
19 Sept 2026Atletico-MG crestAtletico-MG1-1Chapecoense-SCChapecoense-SC crest19 Sept 2026Mirassol crestMirassol2-0Botafogo RJBotafogo RJ crest19 Sept 2026Remo crestRemo1-2SantosSantos crest20 Sept 2026Sao Paulo crestSao Paulo1-0InternacionalInternacional crest
Every game on Saturday, 19 September 2026 →
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