How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Not both teams to score 48%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Sao Paulo and 1.0 from Atletico-MG, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.3 goals between the two (xG 1.2-1.0). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.81, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
