How it turned out
We projected about 3.8 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Augsburg to score 1 or fewer 75%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Augsburg and 2.7 from Bayern Munich, so Bayern Munich come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.8 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Bayern Munich come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Augsburg to score 1 or fewer. This is about Augsburg's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Bayern Munich have won four of the last five meetings.
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