What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Paderborn and 1.6 from Stuttgart, so Stuttgart come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Paderborn come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.6 goals (xG 1.0-1.6), and three is enough to land it, landing about 63% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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