How it turned out
We projected about 5.3 goals; the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Elversberg to score 78%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Elversberg and 3.3 from Bayern Munich, so Bayern Munich come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 5.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Elversberg come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Elversberg to score. This is about Elversberg's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 2.0 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 78%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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