What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Schalke 04 and 1.1 from Mainz, so Schalke 04 come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.1), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Schalke 04 have won two of their last five.
✓Mainz have won three of their last five.
Recent meetings
5 May 2023Mainz 2 - 3 Schalke 04
9 Nov 2022Schalke 04 1 - 0 Mainz
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