How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Dinamo Zagreb (Draw No Bet) 62%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Dinamo Zagreb and 1.2 from Viking, so Dinamo Zagreb come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Dinamo Zagreb come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Dinamo Zagreb (Draw No Bet). Dinamo Zagreb are favoured here (xG 1.8-1.2), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Dinamo Zagreb defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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