What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from Slovan Bratislava and 1.8 from Celje, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Slovan Bratislava come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Slovan Bratislava to win. Slovan Bratislava are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-1.8), and we make them about 43% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 43 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.76, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Celje a draw or better. The price is shorter than our own read of about 43%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
