How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Levski Sofia (Draw No Bet) 64%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Levski Sofia and 1.0 from AEK Athens FC, so Levski Sofia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
AEK Athens FC come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Levski Sofia (Draw No Bet). Levski Sofia are favoured here (xG 1.6-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Levski Sofia defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.05, which works out at about 49 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
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