How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made QPR to score 2 or fewer 76%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from QPR and 1.1 from Preston, so QPR come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
QPR come into this on two straight draws. Preston come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: QPR to score 2 or fewer. This is about QPR's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
QPR have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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