What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Swansea and 1.6 from West Ham, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Swansea come into this on three straight wins. West Ham come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 64%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
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