Botswana v Tunisia prediction

What to expect

Botswana host Tunisia in an AFCON qualifier on 28 September 2026. Both teams are looking to improve their positions in the group, but the table tells a clear story. Tunisia sit higher than Botswana and the numbers show them as the stronger side. A win for Tunisia would push them further up the standings, while Botswana would need a result to keep any hope of climbing. The stakes are simple: Tunisia want to keep the pressure on the leaders, and Botswana hope to pick up points at home.

We back Tunisia or a draw. The price of 1.04 is shorter than what we think the game will be, giving a small return for a safe option. Our reading suggests a total of about 2.3 goals, with Tunisia likely to score at least once (78 % chance) and Botswana also having a decent chance to find the net (55 % chance). The odds of Tunisia scoring twice or more are 42 %, while Botswana scoring twice is only 18 %. Combining these ideas, we see a good chance that Tunisia will at least draw, and the price looks attractive for that outcome. The pick would go wrong only if Botswana manage a clean sheet and score twice while keeping Tunisia off the board, a scenario that looks unlikely given the figures.