How it turned out
We projected about 4.0 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Guadeloupe (Draw No Bet) 90%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
Guadeloupe host Barbados in a CONCACAF Nations League clash on 28 September 2026. Both teams sit in the middle of the table, but the numbers show Guadeloupe as the clear favourite. They are expected to score about three goals while Barbados are predicted to find the net less than once. The stakes are modest – a win will push Guadeloupe a few places up, while a loss could see Barbados slip down a rung. The game looks open, with chances likely at both ends.
We back Guadeloupe with a draw-no-bet stake at 1.42. The price is a little longer than our own reading, but the odds still look good. Guadeloupe are expected to score at least once in 96 % of games and to hit two or more goals in 83 % of matches. Barbados, on the other hand, only score at all in 57 % of games and hit a double in 21 % of them. That makes a Guadeloupe defeat the only way our bet loses. We feel confident, with a 90 % chance of the pick working. The only thing that could turn it wrong is a surprisingly strong defensive display from Barbados that keeps the score level.
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