How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 56%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
The game looks very even. Both sides are expected to score about one and a half goals each, so the total should be close to three. There is almost nothing separating them on those numbers, which suggests a tight match rather than a free-flowing affair. Expect both teams to push for a goal but also to keep a careful eye on the defence.
Barnsley have not lost in their last three league outings, winning two and drawing one, and they come in on the back of two straight victories. Blackpool have also been strong, with two wins and a single loss in their last three games. Those recent results show that each side is capable of finding the net regularly, and the pattern points to another game where both attacks will be active.
Our pick is both teams to score. The two sides each average roughly 1.4 goals, and we think a goal on either end is likely. The price of 1.60 is shorter than what we feel the game deserves, so it looks attractive for a bet that has a 56 % chance of succeeding in our view.
It would have to go wrong if one team shuts down the other completely, keeping a clean sheet. A very defensive display or a rare miss in front of goal could stop both sides from scoring. We are fairly confident in our view, but we know a single strong defensive effort could change the outcome.
Recent results
Blackpool have won three of the last five meetings.
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