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Football/Ligue 1/Strasbourg v Paris SG
Ligue 1

Strasbourg v Paris SG prediction

Strasbourg crestStrasbourgLWWDL
v
Paris SG crestParis SGDLWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Strasbourg and 2.0 from Paris SG, so Paris SG come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Paris SG come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.5 goals between the two (xG 1.5-2.0), landing about 67% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Strasbourg have won two of their last five.
Paris SG have won three of their last five.
Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

1 Feb 2026Strasbourg 1 - 2 Paris SG
17 Oct 2025Paris SG 3 - 3 Strasbourg
3 May 2025Strasbourg 2 - 1 Paris SG
19 Oct 2024Paris SG 4 - 2 Strasbourg
2 Feb 2024Strasbourg 1 - 2 Paris SG
Paris SG have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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