Austin FC v Nashville SC prediction

Austin FCWDDWD

Nashville SCLLDDW

What to expect

We expect about 1.0 goals from Austin FC and 1.6 from Nashville SC, so Nashville SC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.0-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.66, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Austin FC are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.

✓Nashville SC have won one of their last five.

✓Three of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in one of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

25 Aug 2024Nashville SC 0 - 2 Austin FC

18 Sept 2022Austin FC 1 - 1 Nashville SC

4 Sept 2022Nashville SC 3 - 0 Austin FC

24 May 2021Nashville SC 1 - 0 Austin FC

Nashville SC have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.

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