How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Colorado Rapids and 1.4 from San Jose Earthquakes, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Colorado Rapids to score 2 or fewer. This is about Colorado Rapids's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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