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Football/MLS/Los Angeles FC v Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS · BMO Stadium

Los Angeles FC v Vancouver Whitecaps: how it went

Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FC6th in Western · 41 ptsWLDDL
1 - 1
Vancouver Whitecaps crestVancouver Whitecaps1st in Western · 50 ptsLLWDL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 60%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

Los Angeles FC host Vancouver Whitecaps on a crisp October evening in the MLS. LAFC sit sixth in the 15-team table with 41 points from 28 games and a +13 goal difference. Vancouver sit top of the league on 50 points from 27 matches and a +31 goal difference. The gap between them is nine points, but the places are only one spot apart from the teams above and below them, so the match can shift the standings for both clubs. Both sides will be looking to improve their positions as the season draws to a close.

LAFC have not won in their last four outings. In their most recent eight games they have recorded one win, five draws and two defeats. The run began with a 1-0 loss away at FC Dallas, followed by two 2-2 draws with San Jose Earthquakes, a 3-1 loss to Sporting Kansas City, a 2-0 home win over New York Red Bulls, and a 2-2 draw with Real Salt Lake. In those eight matches they have scored ten goals and let in eleven. They kept two clean sheets but also failed to find the net twice. Four of the games featured three or more goals and both sides scored in five of them.

Vancouver have come into this fixture after two straight defeats. Their last eight results contain two wins, one draw and five losses. The most recent games were a 3-1 loss away to Chicago Fire, another 3-1 loss to the same side, a 3-3 home draw with DC United, a 3-0 away win over Real Salt Lake, a 2-1 loss away to CF Montréal and a 2-1 home loss to Austin FC. Over those eight games the Whitecaps have scored fourteen and conceded sixteen. They kept two clean sheets and every match had three or more goals, with both teams scoring in six of them. The trip to Los Angeles comes after only four days of rest.

The two clubs have met five times before. Each side has won once and the other three meetings ended in draws. Those games produced an average of 2.4 goals. The most recent encounter was a 1-1 draw on 2 August 2026. Given the recent goal-rich patterns of both clubs and the tight head-to-head history, we expect another open affair with chances at both ends.

Our pick is both teams to score. Both sides average just over a goal per game in this match, and the chance of each side finding the net is high – 80 % for LAFC and 73 % for Vancouver. The price of 1.51 is shorter than our reading, which makes it attractive. We think a goal from each team is the most likely outcome, giving us a 59 % chance of success. It would only fail if one side shuts out the other, which seems unlikely given the recent scoring trends.

What the numbers say
✓Los Angeles FC have won one of their last five.
✓Vancouver Whitecaps have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

2 Aug 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 1 - 1 Los Angeles FC
23 Nov 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC
30 Jun 2025Los Angeles FC 0 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
12 May 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC
9 Nov 2024Los Angeles FC 1 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps

The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.

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More MLS fixtures

Full fixture list
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Every game on Sunday, 11 October 2026 →
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