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Football/MLS/Minnesota United v Houston Dynamo
MLS · Allianz Field

Minnesota United v Houston Dynamo prediction

Minnesota United crestMinnesota UnitedDLLLL
v
Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamoLDDWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Minnesota United and 1.2 from Houston Dynamo, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Minnesota United come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.61, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Minnesota United have not won any of their last five.
Houston Dynamo have won one of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

26 Jun 2025Minnesota United 3 - 1 Houston Dynamo
15 May 2025Houston Dynamo 2 - 0 Minnesota United
14 Jul 2024Houston Dynamo 1 - 1 Minnesota United
14 Apr 2024Minnesota United 1 - 2 Houston Dynamo
13 Jul 2023Houston Dynamo 0 - 3 Minnesota United
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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