How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Houston Dynamo to score 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Minnesota United and 1.2 from Houston Dynamo, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Minnesota United come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Houston Dynamo to score. This is about Houston Dynamo's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 71%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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