How it turned out
We projected about 3.8 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Sporting Kansas City and 2.0 from Portland Timbers, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.8 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Portland Timbers come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Sporting Kansas City to score 2 or fewer. This is about Sporting Kansas City's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Portland Timbers have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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