Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City prediction

Houston DynamoLDDWL

Sporting Kansas CityLLLWL

What to expect

We expect about 2.1 goals from Houston Dynamo and 0.9 from Sporting Kansas City, so Houston Dynamo come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Houston Dynamo to win. Houston Dynamo are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.9), and we make them about 66% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Houston Dynamo have won one of their last five.

✓Sporting Kansas City have won one of their last five.

✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

2 Aug 2026Sporting Kansas City 0 - 2 Houston Dynamo

19 Oct 2025Sporting Kansas City 0 - 0 Houston Dynamo

1 Jun 2025Houston Dynamo 1 - 3 Sporting Kansas City

12 May 2024Sporting Kansas City 1 - 2 Houston Dynamo

25 Feb 2024Houston Dynamo 1 - 1 Sporting Kansas City

Houston Dynamo have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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