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Football/MLS/San Jose Earthquakes v Portland Timbers
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San Jose Earthquakes v Portland Timbers prediction

San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose EarthquakesDWWWD
v
Portland Timbers crestPortland TimbersDLWDL

What to expect

We expect about 2.0 goals from San Jose Earthquakes and 1.6 from Portland Timbers, so San Jose Earthquakes come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.0-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 67%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
Portland Timbers have won one of their last five.
Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in five of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

24 May 2026Portland Timbers 1 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes
14 Jun 2025Portland Timbers 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes
4 May 2025San Jose Earthquakes 4 - 1 Portland Timbers
20 Jun 2024San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 2 Portland Timbers
16 May 2024Portland Timbers 4 - 2 San Jose Earthquakes
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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